Home » SA vs NZ T20 WC 2026 Semi-Final 1 Odds & Prediction (4 March)
Written By: Ben Crawley
Published: March 4, 2026

South Africa arrive at this semifinal riding seven consecutive wins, brimming with confidence and their full-strength XI returning after resting key players against Zimbabwe. 

New Zealand, meanwhile, scraped through with a less convincing campaign but entered with nothing to lose and a point to prove.

Eden Gardens offers a dry, true surface with a fast outfield, conditions that favour big scores. 

David Miller’s stunning record at this venue could prove decisive, while Lockie Ferguson’s dominance over De Kock adds intrigue at the top. One ticket to the Ahmedabad final is on offer. Two hungry teams will fight hard for it.

SA vs NZ Semi-Final 1 Betting Odds

South Africa comes into this game as the favourites. Their head-to-head record, their balanced squad, and their strong performances in this tournament make them the natural pick for the betting markets. New Zealand still has the firepower to pull off an upset, and its odds reflect that.

SA vs NZ Semi-Final 1 Match Details
Image Source: BookMyShow
PlatformSouth Africa Win OddsNew Zealand Win OddsToss Odds (RSA)Toss Odds (NZ)
1xBet1.652.251.901.90
Stake1.672.201.911.89
4RABET1.642.281.881.92
BetVibe1.662.221.901.90

South Africa’s odds sitting below 1.70 across most platforms show just how much the market trusts them here. New Zealand’s odds around 2.25 suggest they are seen as capable of winning but will need their best performance to do it.

SA vs NZ Semi-Final 1 Match Details

This is the first semi-final of the ICC Men’s T20 World Cup 2026. Both teams have earned their place here, and neither will want to go home. 

Here is everything you need to know about the match before the first ball is bowled.

AspectDetails
MatchRSA vs NZ, 1st Semi-Final, ICC Men’s T20 World Cup 2026
TournamentICC Men’s T20 World Cup 2026
Date04/03/2026
Time7:00 PM LOCAL / 1:30 PM GMT
VenueEden Gardens, Kolkata

Eden Gardens is one of the biggest and most iconic cricket grounds in the world. The atmosphere there is like no other, and it adds extra pressure on both sides, especially the bowlers in the death overs.

SA vs NZ Semi-Final 1 Squad Lists

Both teams have named their full squads for this semi-final. South Africa brings a good mix of power hitters and quality bowlers, while New Zealand relies on experience and adaptability across all its positions.

South Africa Squad

Aiden Markram (c), Quinton de Kock (wk), Ryan Rickelton, Dewald Brevis, David Miller, Tristan Stubbs, George Linde, Corbin Bosch, Anrich Nortje, Kwena Maphaka, Lungi Ngidi, Kagiso Rabada, Marco Jansen, Keshav Maharaj, Jason Smith

New Zealand Squad

Mitchell Santner (c), Tim Seifert (wk), Finn Allen, Rachin Ravindra, Glenn Phillips, Mark Chapman, Daryl Mitchell, Cole McConchie, Matt Henry, Ish Sodhi, Lockie Ferguson, Jacob Duffy, James Neesham, Kyle Jamieson, Devon Conway

SA vs NZ Semi-Final 1 Squad Lists
Image Source: CricTracker

Both squads are packed with players who can change a game on their own. It only takes one innings or one spell to completely flip the result in a knockout match like this.

Pitch Report: Eden Gardens, Kolkata

Eden Gardens has a surface that usually gives a little to the pacers early on. As the match moves along, it tends to flatten out and become a good batting surface. 

Eden Gardens, Kolkata
Image Source: ESPNcricinfo

The dew factor in the evening can make a big difference in the second innings.

AspectDetails
Pitch BehaviourGood pace early, becomes flatter in the second half. Spinners may get some help in the middle overs.
Batting ConditionsBatters can score freely once they settle in. The surface rewards positive and attacking play.
Bowling SupportFast bowlers get some help early with the new ball. Spinners become more effective as the surface slows.
Ground DimensionsCapacity of 63,000 with long straight boundaries and slightly shorter square boundaries.
Average 1st Innings ScoreThe average T20I score here is around 160 to 165. Teams love batting first when the pitch is at its best.
Toss and Dew ImpactDew is expected later in the evening. Teams winning the toss may look to bowl first and chase with a wet ball.

The dew factor could be the key talking point at the toss. Both captains will be watching the sky closely before deciding which way to go.

Weather Report

Kolkata is known for being warm and humid in the evening. The conditions at Eden Gardens for this semi-final are expected to be good for cricket, though the humidity could be a factor for the bowlers.

AspectDetails
TemperatureAround 30°C, warm but manageable conditions through the evening
WeatherMostly clear skies are expected with no major interruptions forecast
PrecipitationAround 10 to 15% chance of rain, very low risk of disruption
HumidityAround 75 to 80%, dew formation is almost certain in the second innings
WindLight winds of around 10 to 12 km/h, which may assist swing bowlers early

The forecast is mostly clear and good for a full game of cricket. The high humidity does mean that the team chasing will have an easier time gripping the ball as the match goes on, which gives the toss extra importance here.

South Africa vs New Zealand Head-to-Head in T20Is

New Zealand and South Africa have faced each other in 19 T20 matches. Of these 19 games, New Zealand have won 7, whereas South Africa has won 12.

AspectResult
Total Matches Played19
South Africa Won12
New Zealand Won7
No Result0

South Africa’s record of 12 wins from 19 games shows their dominance in this format against New Zealand. That said, New Zealand has won when it has mattered before, and a semi-final is always a different kind of game with extra pressure on both sides.

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SA vs NZ Semi-Final 1 Key Players to Watch

Both teams have match-winners across every part of the lineup. One big spell or one quick innings from any of these players can shift the entire game in a completely different direction.

Here are the players to keep your eye on during this semi-final.

PlayerT20I Stats
Kagiso Rabada (RSA)82 wickets in 78 matches at an economy rate of 8.39
Quinton de Kock (RSA)3,085 runs in 109 matches at an average of 31.16, SR 142.29
Aiden Markram (RSA)1,948 runs in 76 matches at an average of 31.93, SR 148.47
Finn Allen (NZ)1,554 runs in 60 matches at an average of 27.26, SR 166.38
Lockie Ferguson (NZ)71 wickets in 50 matches at an economy rate of 7.31
Rachin Ravindra (NZ)745 runs and 23 wickets in 50 matches

Kagiso Rabada and Lockie Ferguson will be the key pace bowlers to watch in the powerplay and death overs. 

Quinton de Kock and Finn Allen at the top of the order could set the tone for their teams if they get going early in the innings.

About the Author

Hey, I am a cricket writer based in London with over 7 years of experience covering everything from county championships to international showdowns. I bring a sharp eye for detail and a passion for storytelling, highlighting England’s rising stars and memorable match moments. At DurhamCricket, I deliver weekly coverage that's honest, insightful, and easy to follow—perfect for fans who live and breathe the game.

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