Chennai Super Kings vs Mumbai Indians meet in Match 44 with both sides desperate for points to keep their playoff hopes alive.
CSK arrive 9th with 3 wins from 8 matches after losses to SRH and GT have pegged them back, sandwiched around their crushing 9-wicket victory over MI at Wankhede.
Mumbai Indians, meanwhile, sit bottom with 2 wins from 8 matches after Ryan Rickelton’s century in the SRH game wasn’t enough to halt their slide.
CSK lead the head-to-head 5-1 since 2023, though MI hold a 21-19 overall edge across 40 IPL meetings. Match 44 takes place on May 2, 2026, at 7:30 PM IST at the MA Chidambaram Stadium, Chennai.
CSK vs MI Betting Odds
Chennai Super Kings enter as favourites thanks to home advantage and their dominant 5-1 record over MI since 2023.
However, MI’s all-round star power and history of late-season runs keeps the markets close.
| Platform | CSK Win Odds | CSK Win % | MI Win Odds | MI Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.80 | 56% | 2.00 | 50% |
| Stake | 1.82 | 55% | 1.98 | 51% |
| 4RABET | 1.78 | 56% | 2.05 | 49% |
| BetVibe | 1.85 | 54% | 1.95 | 51% |
| Parimatch | 1.80 | 56% | 2.00 | 50% |
CSK vs MI Head-to-Head Record
Mumbai Indians lead the all-time head-to-head 21-19 across 40 IPL meetings, the most-played fixture in IPL history. However, CSK have dominated this rivalry recently, leading 5-1 since 2023 including their 9-wicket thrashing of MI at Wankhede earlier in IPL 2026.
| Team | Matches | Wins | Lost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mumbai Indians | 40 | 21 | 19 |
| Chennai Super Kings | 40 | 19 | 21 |
Sanju Samson has scored 264 runs in CSK’s wins this season and just 40 runs in their losses, making him their batting weather vane. Furthermore, MI hold a 5-4 win-loss record at Chepauk against CSK, the only team alongside PBKS to have a positive record at this venue. Additionally, CSK won the Wankhede reverse fixture by a 9-wicket margin earlier in this campaign.
Chennai Weather Report
Hot and humid conditions expected at Chepauk with no rain threat. Heavy humidity will challenge fielders, with moderate dew expected in the second innings.
| Weather Aspect | Forecast |
|---|---|
| Temperature | 28°C to 36°C |
| Humidity | 70% to 85% |
| Rain Chance | 5% (Minimal) |
| Wind Speed | 10 to 16 km/h |
| Conditions | Clear, hot and humid |
| Dew Factor | Moderate to heavy in second innings |
MA Chidambaram Stadium Pitch Report
The Chepauk pitch features mixed black-and-red soil that traditionally assists spinners with grip and turn.
The 63m square boundary on one side offers some assistance to batters, while the 79m straight boundary makes timing critical.
| Pitch Aspect | Details |
|---|---|
| Pitch Type | Mixed black-red soil, spin-friendly |
| Avg 1st Innings Score | 170-185 runs |
| Pace vs Spin | Spinners dominate middle and death overs |
| Boundary Size | 63m (short square), 70m (long square), 79m (straight) |
| Toss Factor | Batting first preferred when set |
The Chepauk surface offers significant assistance to spinners as the game progresses. Moreover, dew has been a factor in some matches, neutralising spin in the second innings. Additionally, Noor Ahmad’s wrist spin alongside Akeal Hosein’s left-arm orthodox have been potent on this surface.
Chennai Super Kings Probable Playing 11
CSK have several selection calls to make with MS Dhoni edging closer to his return and Spencer Johnson potentially making his debut. The XI from the GT match is likely to be tweaked.
| Player | Role |
|---|---|
| Ruturaj Gaikwad (c) | Batter |
| Sanju Samson (wk) | Wicketkeeper-Batter |
| Sarfaraz Khan | Batter |
| Dewald Brevis | Batter |
| Shivam Dube | All-Rounder |
| Kartik Sharma | Batter |
| Jamie Overton | All-Rounder |
| Akeal Hosein | Spinner |
| Noor Ahmad | Spinner |
| Anshul Kamboj | Bowler |
| Gurjapneet Singh | Bowler |
Impact Player Options: MS Dhoni, Prashant Veer, Mukesh Choudhary, Spencer Johnson, Matthew Short
Mumbai Indians Probable Playing 11
MI face significant selection challenges with Rohit Sharma’s availability decided on match day. Mahela Jayawardene confirmed Rohit batted in the nets but the medical team’s call is pending. Quinton de Kock continues to miss out with a wrist injury.
| Player | Role |
|---|---|
| Ryan Rickelton (wk) | Wicketkeeper-Batter |
| Will Jacks | Batting All-Rounder |
| Naman Dhir | Batter |
| Suryakumar Yadav | Batter |
| Tilak Varma | Batter |
| Hardik Pandya (c) | All-Rounder |
| Robin Minz | Batter |
| Shardul Thakur | All-Rounder |
| Jasprit Bumrah | Bowler |
| AM Ghazanfar | Spinner |
| Mayank Markande | Spinner |
Impact Player Options: Rohit Sharma, Trent Boult, Corbin Bosch, Krish Bhagat, Reece Topley
Match Prediction and Analysis
Chennai Super Kings will edge this clash thanks to home advantage and their 5-1 record over MI since 2023.
Sanju Samson’s tournament-leading runs in CSK wins, combined with Anshul Kamboj’s 8 wickets at the death (most in IPL 2026), gives the hosts the edge on a spin-friendly Chepauk surface.
Noor Ahmad and Akeal Hosein form one of the most dangerous spin attacks in the league.
MI counter with Tilak Varma’s consistent form, Ryan Rickelton’s century from the SRH game, and Bumrah’s experience.
However, with Quinton de Kock injured, Rohit Sharma uncertain, and Mitchell Santner unavailable, MI’s batting depth is significantly compromised.
Suggested Reads:
Final Verdict
CSK will complete a season double over MI to revitalise their playoff campaign.
Expect Sanju Samson and Sarfaraz Khan to anchor the innings while Noor Ahmad targets MI’s middle order in the spin-friendly Chepauk conditions.
Mumbai Indians need Tilak Varma and Suryakumar Yadav to fire alongside Bumrah’s powerplay heroics to upset the hosts.
With CSK gaining 2 crucial points and MI tasked with avoiding mathematical playoff elimination, this is essentially a knockout for both sides.
Winner Prediction: Chennai Super Kings
Win Probability: 56%
