Home » IPL 2026: MI vs LSG Match 47 Prediction – Who Will Win?
Written By: Ben Crawley
Published: May 4, 2026

Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giants meet in Match 47 with both sides desperate to keep mathematical playoff hopes alive.

MI sit 9th with 2 wins from 9 matches after their 8-wicket loss to CSK at Chepauk, while LSG are bottom (10th) with 2 wins from 8 matches on a five-match losing streak.

LSG arrive after a heartbreaking Super Over loss to KKR where Rishabh Pant scored 42, Aiden Markram added 31, and Mohsin Khan picked up a 5-wicket haul.

Rohit Sharma took a fitness test on the eve of the match while Josh Inglis is expected to make his season debut for LSG.

LSG lead the all-time head-to-head 6-2. Match 47 takes place on May 4, 2026, at 7:30 PM IST at the Wankhede Stadium, Mumbai.

MI vs LSG Betting Odds

Mumbai Indians enter as slight favourites thanks to home advantage and Wankhede’s batting-friendly surface.

However, LSG’s superior bowling attack featuring Mohsin Khan and Prince Yadav keeps the markets close.

IPL 2026 MI vs LSG Match 47
Source: Sports Yaari
PlatformMI Win OddsMI Win %LSG Win OddsLSG Win %
1xBet1.8554%1.9551%
Stake1.8853%1.9252%
4RABET1.8255%1.9851%
BetVibe1.9053%1.9053%
Parimatch1.8554%1.9551%

MI vs LSG Head-to-Head Record

Lucknow Super Giants lead the head-to-head 6-2 across 8 IPL meetings. LSG have won three of the last four encounters, including 2 of 3 fixtures played at Wankhede.

TeamMatchesWonLost
Lucknow Super Giants862
Mumbai Indians826

Last 5 Meetings

LSG have dominated this fixture in recent encounters with three wins from the last five meetings.

SeasonVenueWinnerMargin
IPL 2025MumbaiLSG12 runs
IPL 2025LucknowMI18 runs
IPL 2024LucknowLSG4 wickets
IPL 2024MumbaiLSG18 runs
IPL 2023LucknowLSG5 runs

LSG have won 2 of 3 matches at Wankhede against MI. Furthermore, Rishabh Pant has scored 55 runs off 46 balls against Jasprit Bumrah in T20s but has been dismissed 7 times, the highest dismissal count by a single bowler.

Additionally, Bumrah has conceded just 28 runs off 28 balls against Mitchell Marsh and 26 off 29 against Aiden Markram with one dismissal each.

Mumbai Weather Report

Hot and humid conditions expected at Wankhede with no rain threat. Heavy dew will play a decisive role in the second innings under lights.

Weather AspectForecast
Temperature27°C to 33°C
Humidity70% to 80%
Rain Chance0% (Minimal)
Wind Speed12 to 18 km/h
ConditionsClear, humid evening
Dew FactorHeavy in second innings

Wankhede Stadium Pitch Report

The Wankhede Stadium has produced an average first-innings score of 221 in IPL 2026.

Match 47 will be played on Pitch No. 4, used only once this season, offering true bounce and pace throughout.

Pitch AspectDetails
Pitch TypeFlat, batting-friendly
Avg 1st Innings Score (IPL 2026)221 runs
Pace vs SpinTrue bounce, spinners successful this season
Boundary Size65-68m (square), 70m (straight)
Toss FactorChasing preferred (12 of 20 last 20 matches)
Key FactorHeavy dew in second innings

The Wankhede surface offers true bounce throughout the innings. Moreover, dew accumulates from the 12th over onwards, neutralising spin in the second innings.

Additionally, 12 of the last 20 matches at this venue have been won by chasing teams, indicating the toss could be decisive.

Mumbai Indians Probable Playing 11

MI face significant selection calls with Rohit Sharma’s fitness pending. If cleared, Rohit will replace Robin Minz and open with Rickelton, pushing Will Jacks down the order.

PlayerRole
Rohit Sharma / Robin MinzBatter
Ryan Rickelton (wk)Wicketkeeper-Batter
Naman DhirBatter
Suryakumar YadavBatter
Tilak VarmaBatter
Hardik Pandya (c)All-Rounder
Will JacksAll-Rounder
Krish BhagatBowler
Trent BoultBowler
Jasprit BumrahBowler
AM GhazanfarSpinner

Impact Player Options: Robin Minz, Mitchell Santner, Reece Topley, Corbin Bosch, Shardul Thakur

Lucknow Super Giants Probable Playing 11

LSG will see Josh Inglis return for his first match of the season. The selection call is between Inglis and Nicholas Pooran (just 82 runs in 8 innings at SR 81.18) or playing both with George Linde missing out.

PlayerRole
Mitchell MarshBatter
Aiden MarkramBatter
Rishabh Pant (c, wk)Wicketkeeper-Batter
Josh Inglis / Nicholas PooranBatter
Ayush BadoniBatter
Mukul ChoudharyAll-Rounder
George Linde / Manimaran SiddharthSpin All-Rounder
Mohammed ShamiBowler
Mohsin KhanBowler
Prince YadavBowler
Digvesh RathiSpinner

Impact Player Options: Nicholas Pooran, Avesh Khan, Himmat Singh, Wanindu Hasaranga, Akash Deep

Match Prediction and Analysis

Mumbai Indians will edge this clash thanks to home advantage and superior batting depth at Wankhede. Ryan Rickelton’s 297 runs lead MI’s batting alongside Naman Dhir’s 233 runs at SR 147.46.

Rohit Sharma’s potential return adds further depth. AM Ghazanfar has been MI’s most consistent bowler this season.

LSG counter with Mitchell Marsh’s 200+ runs (the only LSG batter past that mark), Mohammed Shami’s powerplay economy of 6.89 (best among bowlers with 10+ overs), and Mohsin Khan’s economy of 6.37 (best in IPL 2026).

Prince Yadav’s 13 wickets at strike rate 13.80 leads LSG’s bowling. However, LSG’s batting depth without Pooran firing remains their Achilles heel.

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Final Verdict

Mumbai Indians will secure a crucial home win to keep their slim playoff hopes alive.

Expect Rickelton and Naman Dhir to set the tone in the powerplay while Bumrah targets Pant in the middle overs given his 7-dismissal record against the LSG skipper. ‘

Lucknow Super Giants need Mitchell Marsh to anchor the innings alongside Mohsin Khan’s new-ball spell to upset the hosts.

With both sides essentially playing for pride, expect a high-scoring encounter at Wankhede with the chasing team holding the dew advantage.

Winner Prediction: Mumbai Indians

Win Probability: 54%

About the Author

Hey, I am a cricket writer based in London with over 7 years of experience covering everything from county championships to international showdowns. I bring a sharp eye for detail and a passion for storytelling, highlighting England’s rising stars and memorable match moments. At DurhamCricket, I deliver weekly coverage that's honest, insightful, and easy to follow—perfect for fans who live and breathe the game.

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