Home » IPL 2026: PBKS vs RR Match 40 Prediction – Who Will Win?
Written By: Ben Crawley
Published: April 28, 2026

Punjab Kings ride into Match 40 on the back of IPL’s highest-ever successful run-chase, hunting down 265 against Delhi Capitals with Prabhsimran Singh’s blistering 76 off 26 and Shreyas Iyer’s unbeaten 71 off 36 sealing victory in 18.5 overs.

The table-toppers boast 6 wins from 7 matches and lead the standings with 13 points. Rajasthan Royals, meanwhile, sit 4th with 5 wins from 8 matches and 10 points after a heartbreaking loss to SRH despite Vaibhav Suryavanshi’s stunning 103 off 37 balls.

Yashasvi Jaiswal and Jofra Archer remain RR’s key threats. Match 40 takes place on April 28, 2026, at 7:30 PM IST at the Maharaja Yadavindra Singh International Cricket Stadium, Mullanpur.

PBKS vs RR Betting Odds

Punjab Kings enter as strong favourites thanks to their unbeaten home run and table-topping form. RR’s struggling campaign keeps the markets heavily skewed toward the hosts.

PBKS vs RR
Source: CricTracker
PlatformPBKS Win OddsPBKS Win %RR Win OddsRR Win %
1xBet1.6561%2.2045%
Stake1.6860%2.1846%
4RABET1.6262%2.2544%
BetVibe1.7059%2.1547%
Parimatch1.6561%2.2045%

PBKS vs RR Head-to-Head Record

Rajasthan Royals lead the head-to-head 17-13 across 29 IPL meetings. However, PBKS have won 3 of the last 5 encounters as the rivalry has tilted recently.

TeamMatchesWonLost
Rajasthan Royals291712
Punjab Kings291217

Last 5 Meetings

Recent meetings have produced contrasting results, with PBKS gaining momentum in the rivalry.

SeasonVenueWinnerMargin
IPL 2025MullanpurPBKS50 runs
IPL 2025GuwahatiRR6 wickets
IPL 2024JaipurPBKS5 wickets
IPL 2024MullanpurPBKS4 wickets
IPL 2023JaipurPBKS5 runs

Sanju Samson historically led RR’s run charts in this fixture before his move to CSK, while KL Rahul (now at DC) topped PBKS lists. In the latest IPL 2025 Mullanpur encounter, Priyansh Arya’s explosive top-order start set up PBKS’s 50-run win. Furthermore, Yuzvendra Chahal returning to Punjab adds another dimension as he has bowled extensively against RR’s current core.

Mullanpur Weather Report

Warm and dry conditions expected at the Maharaja Yadavindra Singh Stadium with no rain threat. Evening temperatures will cool gradually as dew arrives in the second innings.

Weather AspectForecast
Temperature24°C to 38°C
Humidity35% to 55%
Rain Chance0% (Minimal)
Wind Speed10 to 16 km/h
ConditionsClear, warm evening
Dew FactorHeavy in second innings

Maharaja Yadavindra Singh Stadium Pitch Report

The Mullanpur surface has emerged as one of IPL 2026’s most batting-friendly venues. Heavy dew during the second innings makes chasing significantly easier under lights.

Pitch AspectDetails
Pitch TypeFlat, batting-friendly
Avg 1st Innings Score195-210 runs
Par Score200+ runs
Pace vs SpinPacers swing early, batters dominate later
Boundary Size65-70m (square), 73m (straight)
Toss FactorChasing preferred due to dew

The pitch allows free-flowing strokeplay throughout the 20 overs. Moreover, dew makes the ball skid onto the bat from the 12th over onwards, neutralising spinners. Additionally, Yuzvendra Chahal’s leg-spin needs early wickets before the dew sets in to remain effective.

Punjab Kings Probable Playing 11

PBKS are expected to field an unchanged XI after their record-breaking chase. Cooper Connolly is back from his back issue, with all four of Prabhsimran, Iyer, Arya, and Connolly having scored 200+ runs this season.

PlayerRole
Prabhsimran Singh (wk)Wicketkeeper-Batter
Priyansh AryaBatter
Cooper ConnollyBatting All-Rounder
Shreyas Iyer (c)Batter
Shashank SinghBatter
Marcus StoinisAll-Rounder
Marco JansenAll-Rounder
Xavier BartlettBowler
Vijaykumar VyshakBowler
Arshdeep SinghBowler
Yuzvendra ChahalSpinner

Impact Player Options: Nehal Wadhera, Harpreet Brar, Suryansh Shedge, Yash Thakur, Vishnu Vinod

Rajasthan Royals Probable Playing 11

RR are likely to retain the same XI from their SRH defeat. Vaibhav Suryavanshi’s record-breaking 103 off 37 (with 12 sixes, an IPL RR record) sits alongside Jadeja’s all-round form and Archer’s leading 13 wickets.

PlayerRole
Yashasvi JaiswalBatter
Vaibhav SuryavanshiBatter
Dhruv Jurel (wk)Wicketkeeper-Batter
Riyan Parag (c)All-Rounder
Shimron HetmyerBatter
Donovan FerreiraBatter
Ravindra JadejaAll-Rounder
Jofra ArcherBowler
Tushar DeshpandeBowler
Nandre BurgerBowler
Brijesh SharmaBowler

Impact Player Options: Lhuan-dre Pretorius, Ravi Bishnoi, Ravi Singh, Sandeep Sharma, Shubham Dubey

Match Prediction

Punjab Kings will extend their dominant home run with another commanding performance. Priyansh Arya’s strike rate of 248.23 alongside Shreyas Iyer’s 71* in the previous match makes PBKS’s top order untouchable.

RR counter with Vaibhav Suryavanshi’s Orange Cap form and Yashasvi Jaiswal’s powerplay strokeplay. However, Arshdeep Singh and Yuzvendra Chahal’s experience on a dew-affected surface gives PBKS the edge.

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Final Verdict

Punjab Kings will secure their sixth win of the season to consolidate their top position.

Expect Prabhsimran and Priyansh Arya to set the tone in the powerplay while Chahal targets RR’s right-handed core in the middle overs.

Rajasthan need Suryavanshi to explode in the powerplay and Jofra Archer to break PBKS’s top order to stand any chance at Mullanpur.

Winner Prediction: Punjab Kings

Win Probability: 61%

About the Author

Hey, I am a cricket writer based in London with over 7 years of experience covering everything from county championships to international showdowns. I bring a sharp eye for detail and a passion for storytelling, highlighting England’s rising stars and memorable match moments. At DurhamCricket, I deliver weekly coverage that's honest, insightful, and easy to follow—perfect for fans who live and breathe the game.

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